England has very little chance (less than 3.5%) of World Cup success in Brazil this summer although they have an almost 6% chance of making the final. Brazil on the other hand has a 25% chance of winning the competition outright with Argentina (20% chance), Spain (13%) and Germany (13%) the next favourites. Belgium would seem to be excellent value given a 5% chance of winning or an 11% chance of making the final. Connemara Maths Academy