This weekend Saracens take on Clermont and Toulon host Munster with the chances of a French team winning the competition estimated at over 80%.
Saracens are given a fighting 44% chance of getting to the final while Munster are not rated highly at around 25%.
The chances of an English team winning the competition is more or less the same as Ireland’s at around 15%.
Overall it doesn’t look great for Munster. However, whenever we see the red shirts of Munster take to the pitch there is always a genuine belief that Munster can defy the odds and beat any team in the world.
We will be backing Munster to defy the odds and get through to the final. It is of course an extremely difficult thing to do, especially playing against a French team in France, however Munster being Munster, anything is possible and indeed, it is possible with an implied probability of 25%.